Shyam Metalics & Energy Share Price Target 2026 to 2030

Shyam Metalics & Energy Share Price Target 2026 to 2030

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Shyam Metalics and Energy Ltd (SMEL) is a leading integrated manufacturer of long steel products, ferro alloys, ductile iron pipes, and iron ore pellets in India. Headquartered in Sambalpur, Odisha, the company has built a strong presence across key industrial segments with backward integration in mining and captive power. Despite recent sales contraction, SMEL reported strong profit growth in FY25, driven by cost optimization and premium product mix. However, modest return ratios and sector cyclicality warrant a cautious outlook. This article provides a fact-based analysis and realistic share price targets for each year from 2026 to 2030.


Shyam Metalics: Company Overview

  • Incorporated: 1995
  • Core Business:
  • Long steel (TMT bars, wire rods)
  • Ferro alloys (ferro manganese, silico manganese)
  • Ductile iron (DI) pipes
  • Iron ore pellets
  • Operations: Integrated facilities in Odisha with captive mines and power plants
  • Ownership: Promoter holding at 74.59% – controlled by the Agrawal family
  • Listed: Yes – on BSE (543298) and NSE (SHYAMMETL)

Clarifications:

  • What is the profit of Shyam Metalics? Net profit (TTM) is ₹501 Cr, with EPS of ₹17.96 and 39.33% YoY profit growth—despite a 2.92% sales decline.
  • Is Shyam Metalics a good investment? Suitable only for high-risk, cyclical investors who believe in India’s infrastructure and steel demand recovery. Not ideal for conservative portfolios.
  • What is its rank in India? Among top-5 private players in long steel and ferro alloys, but not the largest overall steel producer.
  • No. 1 steel company in India? Tata Steel and JSW Steel lead in total production; SMEL is a niche player in specialty segments.

Shyam Metalics: Key Financial Snapshot

MetricValue
Market Capitalization₹23,928.58 Cr
Current Share Price₹857
52-Week High / Low₹1,180 / ₹680
P/E (TTM)47.74
P/B (TTM)3.80
Book Value (TTM)₹225.39
EPS (TTM)₹17.96
ROE8.43%
ROCE11.98%
Dividend Yield0.52%
Debt₹202.50 Cr
Cash Reserves₹30.17 Cr
Sales Growth (YoY)–2.92%
Profit Growth (YoY)39.33%

Shareholding Pattern

CategoryHolding (%)
Promoters74.59%
Public (Retail)13.34%
Domestic Institutions (DII)8.86%
Foreign Institutions (FII)3.21%
Others0%

Note: Strong promoter control ensures strategic continuity, but limits float liquidity.


Shyam Metalics Share Price Target Forecast (2026–2030)

Given the profit surge amid falling sales, modest ROCE, and rich valuation, upside is limited unless volume recovers. Targets assume:

  • EPS CAGR of 12–15% (supported by 39% recent profit growth, though likely to normalize)
  • P/E compression from 48x to 30–35x by 2030
  • Debt reduction through operating cash flows
YearTarget Price Range (₹)
2026₹880 – ₹960
2027₹920 – ₹1,020
2028₹960 – ₹1,090
2029₹1,000 – ₹1,160
2030₹1,040 – ₹1,230

Year-wise Breakdown

Shyam Metalics Share Price Target 2026

YearTarget 1Target 2
2026₹880₹960
  • Rationale: Near-term pressure from steel price volatility and weak domestic demand. However, cost leadership and product mix shift support margins.

Shyam Metalics Share Price Target 2027

YearTarget 1Target 2
2027₹920₹1,020
  • Rationale: Potential benefit from infrastructure capex revival and export opportunities in DI pipes and ferro alloys.

Shyam Metalics Share Price Target 2028

YearTarget 1Target 2
2028₹960₹1,090
  • Rationale: By 2028, if capacity utilization improves and ROCE crosses 13%, re-rating is possible.

Shyam Metalics Share Price Target 2029

YearTarget 1Target 2
2029₹1,000₹1,160
  • Rationale: Long-term play on India’s per-capita steel consumption rise (currently ~75 kg vs global avg 220+ kg).

Shyam Metalics Share Price Target 2030

YearTarget 1Target 2
2030₹1,040₹1,230
  • Rationale: The upper end assumes sustained 15%+ EPS growth, debt/EBITDA <1x, and margin expansion in premium products.

Strengths vs Risks

Strengths

  • Backward integration reduces input cost risk
  • Strong promoter commitment (74.6% holding)
  • Diversified product portfolio (steel, alloys, pipes, pellets)
  • Profit resilience despite sales dip

⚠️ Risks

  • ROE below 9% – weak capital efficiency
  • High P/E (47.7x) with negative sales growth
  • Cyclical exposure to steel and infrastructure cycles
  • Low dividend yield (0.52%) – not suited for income investors

Investment Suitability

FactorAssessment
Risk ProfileHigh (commodity cycle)
Time HorizonLong-term (5+ years)
VolatilityHigh
Dividend/IncomeLow (0.52% yield)
Ideal InvestorCyclical investor bullish on India’s steel and infrastructure story

FAQs

For 2026, a realistic range is ₹880–₹960. By 2030, it could reach ₹1,040–₹1,230.
Top-5 in long steel and ferro alloys, but not among India’s largest steel producers by volume.
₹501 crore net profit (TTM), with 39.33% YoY growth despite falling sales.
Tata Steel and JSW Steel are the largest by production and market cap.
Only for aggressive, long-term investors who understand commodity cycles. Avoid for conservative portfolios.

Final Verdict

Shyam Metalics is a niche, integrated player with strong operational discipline, but its low ROE and cyclical nature limit broad appeal. The recent profit jump is encouraging, but sales contraction raises sustainability questions. Our 2026–2030 price targets (₹880–₹1,230) reflect cautious optimism—assuming infrastructure-led demand recovery. Investors should monitor quarterly volume trends before building positions.

📌 Disclaimer: Price targets are estimates based on current fundamentals and sector trends. They are not investment advice. Please consult a SEBI-registered advisor before investing.


Sources

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