Bharat Forge Share Price Target 2026 to 2030

Bharat Forge Share Price Target 2026 to 2030

Telegram Channel Join Now
WhatsApp Channel Join Now

Bharat Forge Limited is India’s largest and the world’s second-largest forging company, with a diversified presence across automotive, aerospace, defence, oil & gas, and industrial sectors. Headquartered in Pune, the company has successfully transitioned from a traditional auto component supplier to a global engineering solutions provider. Despite recent revenue and profit contraction, its strong order book in non-auto segments offers long-term resilience. This article provides a fact-based outlook on its share price target for each year from 2026 through 2030.


Bharat Forge: Company Overview

  • Incorporated: 1961; part of the Kalyani Group
  • Core Business Segments:
  • Automotive Forgings (traditional strength)
  • Non-Auto Engineering: Defence (artillery, missiles), Aerospace (Boeing, Airbus), Oil & Gas, Railways
  • Electric Mobility: EV components, battery enclosures, e-axles
  • Global Presence: Manufacturing facilities in India, Germany, Sweden, and the USA
  • Strategic Edge: Vertically integrated, technology-driven, and export-oriented (70%+ revenue from overseas)
  • Ownership: Promoter-controlled with 44.07% stake, held by the Kalyani family

Bharat Forge: Key Financial Snapshot

MetricValue
Market Capitalization₹80,161.12 Cr
Current Share Price₹1,676 (as of Feb 2026)
P/E (TTM)59.82
P/B (TTM)7.25
Book Value (TTM)₹231.32
EPS (TTM)₹28.03
ROE13.54%
ROCE14.83%
Dividend Yield0.51%
Sales Growth (TTM)–1.39%
Profit Growth (TTM)–7.21%
Cash Reserves₹928.54 Cr
Debt₹3,962.56 Cr
Face Value₹2

Bharat Forge Share Price Target Forecast (2026–2030)

YearTarget Price Range (₹)
2026₹1,750 – ₹1,950
2027₹1,900 – ₹2,200
2028₹2,050 – ₹2,450
2029₹2,200 – ₹2,700
2030₹2,350 – ₹3,000

Targets assume recovery in auto exports, ramp-up in defence orders, and margin improvement in EV and aerospace segments.


Bharat Forge Share Price Target 2026

YearShare Price Target 1Share Price Target 2
2026₹1,750₹1,950
  • High P/E (59.8x) reflects optimism around non-auto diversification
  • Short-term weakness in the auto sector weighs on earnings
  • Risk: Declining sales and profits raise near-term concerns

Bharat Forge Share Price Target 2027

YearShare Price Target 1Share Price Target 2
2027₹1,900₹2,200
  • Expected benefit from artillery and missile orders under India’s defence indigenisation push
  • EV component contracts with global OEMs may start contributing meaningfully
  • Dividend consistency (0.51% yield, ~30% payout) adds investor confidence

Bharat Forge Share Price Target 2028

YearShare Price Target 1Share Price Target 2
2028₹2,050₹2,450
  • By 2028, the cumulative effect of the aerospace and defence ramp-up should reflect in margins
  • Valuation may stabilise if ROCE improves above 16%
  • Debt-to-equity remains manageable but requires monitoring

Bharat Forge Share Price Target 2029

YearShare Price Target 1Share Price Target 2
2029₹2,200₹2,700
  • Long-term tailwinds from the global outsourcing of high-precision forgings
  • Execution risk: Cyclical exposure to auto and oil & gas sectors
  • Strong R&D focus supports transition to high-value engineering

Bharat Forge Share Price Target 2030

YearShare Price Target 1Share Price Target 2
2030₹2,350₹3,000
  • If Bharat Forge captures even 5–7% of the global aerospace forging market, ₹3,000 is achievable
  • However, targets beyond ₹3,200 require significant margin expansion—not currently visible
  • Success in defence exports will be a key differentiator

Bharat Forge: Shareholding Pattern

CategoryHolding (%)
Promoters44.07%
Domestic Institutions (DII)34.22%
Foreign Institutions (FII)12.40%
Public (Retail)9.30%
Others0%

Promoter holding is stable with no pledging reported, indicating strong alignment with long-term value creation.


Bharat Forge: Strengths vs Risks

Strengths

  • Global leadership in closed-die forging
  • Diversified portfolio beyond auto (defence, aerospace, EV)
  • Strong export base (70%+ revenue from overseas)
  • High institutional ownership (DII + FII = 46.6%)

Risks

  • Declining sales and profits in FY2025
  • High valuation: P/E > 59 and P/B > 7 despite negative growth
  • Significant debt (₹3,963 Cr) increases interest burden
  • Cyclical exposure to auto, oil & gas, and global capex cycles

Investment Suitability

FactorAssessment
Risk ProfileModerate to High
Time HorizonLong-term (5+ years)
VolatilityModerate
Dividend/IncomeLow (0.51% yield)
Ideal InvestorThematic investor betting on India’s engineering export and defence manufacturing story

FAQs

A realistic range is ₹1,750 to ₹1,950, based on current order book and sector outlook.
Credible estimates suggest ₹2,350 to ₹3,000 by 2030, assuming successful diversification into defence and aerospace.
Reliable forecasts beyond 2030 are not possible. Such long-term projections are speculative and not based on verifiable data.
The Kalyani family controls the company through promoters holding 44.07% of shares.
Yes. It has a consistent dividend history with a current yield of 0.51% and a payout ratio of ~30%.
The stock corrected due to declining sales (–1.39%) and profits (–7.21%), global auto slowdown, and valuation concerns.
No. It carries ₹3,962.56 crore in debt, though this is partially offset by strong operating cash flows and ₹928 Cr in cash.

Final Verdict

Bharat Forge is undergoing a strategic transformation from an auto-focused forger to a global engineering solutions provider. While near-term financials are weak, its defence, aerospace, and EV pipelines offer strong long-term optionality. However, the current high valuation (P/E 60x) demands patience. Our 2026–2030 price targets (₹1,750–₹3,000) reflect cautious optimism—rewarding diversification but capping upside due to cyclicality and leverage. Best suited for investors with a 5-year horizon who believe in India’s engineering export potential.

Disclaimer: This article is for educational purposes only. It is not investment advice. Please consult a SEBI-registered advisor before making any investment decision.


Sources

🔔 Latest Published Articles
Scroll to Top