CreditAccess Grameen Share Price Target 2026 to 2030

CreditAccess Grameen Share Price Target 2026 to 2030

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CreditAccess Grameen Limited is one of India’s leading microfinance institutions (MFIs), primarily serving low-income women in rural and semi-urban areas through Joint Liability Groups (JLGs). As a systemically important non-deposit-taking NBFC, it plays a key role in financial inclusion. However, recent financials show a sharp decline in profitability despite steady loan book growth—raising concerns about asset quality and margin pressure. This article provides a fact-based outlook on its share price target for each year from 2026 through 2030.


CreditAccess Grameen: Company Overview

  • Incorporated: 1995; headquartered in Bengaluru
  • Core Business: Microfinance lending to women borrowers across 22 states
  • Loan Portfolio: Over ₹24,274 Cr in gross advances (as of FY2025)
  • Market Position: Holds ~6% market share in India’s MFI sector; among the top 3 private MFIs
  • Ownership: Promoter-controlled with 66.28% stake, held by CreditAccess India B.V. (Netherlands-based)

CreditAccess Grameen: Key Financial Snapshot

MetricValue
Market Capitalization₹20,335.90 Cr
Current Share Price₹1,269 (as of Feb 2026)
P/E (TTM)41.9
P/B (TTM)2.74
Book Value (TTM)₹463.18
EPS (TTM)₹30.31
ROE7.90%
ROCE9.55%
Dividend Yield0%
Sales Growth (TTM)11.34%
Profit Growth (TTM)–63.25%
Operating Revenue₹5,752.33 Cr
Net Profit₹531.40 Cr
Advances₹24,274.45 Cr
Face Value₹10

CreditAccess Grameen Share Price Target Forecast (2026–2030)

YearTarget Price Range (₹)
2026₹1,320 – ₹1,500
2027₹1,450 – ₹1,700
2028₹1,600 – ₹1,900
2029₹1,750 – ₹2,100
2030₹1,900 – ₹2,400

Targets assume gradual recovery in margins, stable asset quality, and controlled credit costs—but remain capped by weak returns and sector headwinds.


CreditAccess Grameen Share Price Target 2026

YearShare Price Target 1Share Price Target 2
2026₹1,320₹1,500
  • Revenue growth remains healthy at 11%, but profit collapse weighs heavily on sentiment
  • High P/E (41.9x) despite low ROE (7.9%) makes the valuation vulnerable
  • Risk: Rising competition and RBI’s tighter MFI regulations could pressure yields

CreditAccess Grameen Share Price Target 2027

YearShare Price Target 1Share Price Target 2
2027₹1,450₹1,700
  • Expected normalization of credit costs if rural income stabilizes
  • Potential benefit from digital lending and cross-selling insurance products
  • No dividend payout limits income appeal

CreditAccess Grameen Share Price Target 2028

YearShare Price Target 1Share Price Target 2
2028₹1,600₹1,900
  • By 2028, the cumulative effect of portfolio diversification may improve NIMs
  • Valuation may stabilize if ROCE improves above 11%
  • Execution risk: Asset quality remains sensitive to monsoon and inflation shocks

CreditAccess Grameen Share Price Target 2029

YearShare Price Target 1Share Price Target 2
2029₹1,750₹2,100
  • Long-term tailwinds from India’s financial inclusion push
  • Risk: Intense competition from banks and other MFIs compresses pricing power
  • Low ROE sustainability limits premium valuation

CreditAccess Grameen Share Price Target 2030

YearShare Price Target 1Share Price Target 2
2030₹1,900₹2,400
  • If CreditAccess regains 15%+ ROE and maintains 10%+ loan growth, ₹2,200+ is achievable
  • However, the current ROE of just 7.9% caps upside
  • Targets beyond ₹2,500 require dramatic margin expansion—not currently visible

CreditAccess Grameen: Shareholding Pattern

CategoryHolding (%)
Promoters66.28%
Domestic Institutions (DII)13.23%
Foreign Institutions (FII)11.68%
Public (Retail)8.80%
Others0%

Promoter holding is stable, though recent news suggests the Dutch parent may explore partial exit options—monitor closely.


CreditAccess Grameen: Strengths vs Risks

Strengths

  • Strong presence in underserved rural markets
  • Consistent loan book growth (₹24,274 Cr advances)
  • High institutional ownership (DII + FII = 24.9%)
  • Systemically important NBFC-MFI status ensures regulatory oversight

Risks

  • Profit down 63% despite revenue growth—unsustainable
  • Low ROE (7.9%) and ROCE (9.55%)—among the weakest in financials
  • Zero dividend yield offers no income cushion
  • Sector vulnerability: Monsoon dependence, rural distress, and rate hikes impact repayment

Investment Suitability

FactorAssessment
Risk ProfileHigh (MFI sector cyclicality)
Time HorizonLong-term (5+ years)
VolatilityHigh
Dividend/IncomeNone (0% yield)
Ideal InvestorThematic investor betting on financial inclusion, comfortable with high risk and no dividends

FAQs

A realistic range is ₹1,320 to ₹1,500, assuming no further deterioration in asset quality.
Credible estimates suggest ₹1,900 to ₹2,400 by 2030, contingent on margin recovery and ROE improvement.
Reliable forecasts beyond 2030 are not possible. Such long-term projections are speculative and not based on verifiable data.
The promoter group (CreditAccess India B.V., Netherlands) holds 66.28% of shares.
No. The company has never paid a dividend (yield = 0%) and reinvests all earnings into growth.
The stock corrected due to 63% profit decline, rising provisioning, and concerns over rural asset quality amid inflationary pressures.
No. Like all NBFCs, it uses debt to fund its loan book. However, it maintains strong liquidity and capital adequacy ratios as per RBI norms.

Final Verdict

CreditAccess Grameen is a mission-driven MFI with deep rural penetration, but its financial performance has sharply deteriorated. While the loan book continues to grow, collapsing profits and weak returns make it a high-risk bet. Our 2026–2030 price targets (₹1,320–₹2,400) reflect cautious optimism—rewarding scale but capping upside due to profitability concerns. Suitable only for aggressive investors with a strong belief in India’s microfinance resilience.

Disclaimer: This article is for educational purposes only. It is not investment advice. Please consult a SEBI-registered advisor before making any investment decision.


Sources

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