Bata India Share Price Target 2026 to 2030

Bata India Share Price Target 2026 to 2030

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Bata India Ltd is India’s most iconic footwear brand, with a legacy spanning over 100 years and a retail network of more than 1,500 stores across the country. The company offers a wide range of footwear and accessories for men, women, and children under brands like Bata, Power, Weinbrenner, North Star, and Bubblegummers. Despite modest sales growth, Bata India has delivered strong profit expansion and maintains a debt-free balance sheet with industry-leading return ratios. However, its premium valuation demands scrutiny. This article provides a realistic outlook and share price targets for each year from 2026 to 2030, based on fundamentals and sector dynamics.


Bata India: Company Overview

  • Incorporated: 1931 (Indian subsidiary of global Bata Group)
  • Business: Manufacturing and retail of footwear & accessories
  • Retail Presence: 1,500+ stores across 400+ cities; strong omnichannel strategy
  • Ownership: Bata Shoe Organization (Switzerland) holds 50.16%; the rest is held by Indian institutions and the public
  • Listed: Yes – on BSE (500037) and NSE (BATAINDIA)

Clarifications:

  • Is it dividend-paying? Yes—2.24% yield with consistent payouts (~60% payout ratio).
  • Why did the share fall? Due to near-zero sales growth (0.28%), high P/E (65x), and weak rural demand.
  • Future outlook: Tied to urban consumption revival, premiumization, and operational efficiency—not volume-led growth.

Bata India: Key Financial Snapshot

MetricValue
Market Capitalization₹10,858.65 Cr
Current Share Price₹845
52-Week High / Low₹1,179 / ₹800
P/E (TTM)64.95
P/B (TTM)7.17
Book Value (TTM)₹117.88
EPS (TTM)₹13.01
ROE21.29%
ROCE36.59%
Dividend Yield2.24%
Debt₹0 Cr (debt-free)
Cash Reserves₹623.90 Cr
Sales Growth (YoY)0.28%
Profit Growth (YoY)26.36%

Shareholding Pattern

CategoryHolding (%)
Promoters (Bata Group)50.16%
Domestic Institutions (DII)29.31%
Public (Retail)14.35%
Foreign Institutions (FII)6.18%
Others0%

Note: Strong promoter + institutional backing ensures governance stability.


Bata India Share Price Target Forecast (2026–2030)

Given high valuation, flat sales, but strong ROCE and profitability, upside is limited unless revenue reaccelerates. Targets assume:

  • EPS CAGR of 12–14% (supported by 26% recent profit growth, though likely to normalize)
  • P/E compression from 65x to 45–50x by 2028
  • Stable dividend policy (~60% payout)
YearTarget Price Range (₹)
2026₹880 – ₹960
2027₹930 – ₹1,030
2028₹980 – ₹1,100
2029₹1,030 – ₹1,180
2030₹1,080 – ₹1,260

Year-wise Breakdown

Bata India Share Price Target 2026

YearTarget 1Target 2
2026₹880₹960
  • Rationale: Near-term headwinds from rural slowdown and low same-store sales growth cap upside. However, debt-free status and brand strength provide support.

Bata India Share Price Target 2027

YearTarget 1Target 2
2027₹930₹1,030
  • Rationale: Expected benefit from premium product mix, e-commerce growth, and store optimization.

Bata India Share Price Target 2028

YearTarget 1Target 2
2028₹980₹1,100
  • Rationale: By 2028, operating leverage may improve margins. ROCE of 36.6% justifies a premium vs peers.

Bata India Share Price Target 2029

YearTarget 1Target 2
2029₹1,030₹1,180
  • Rationale: Long-term play on India’s rising disposable income and organized footwear penetration.

Bata India Share Price Target 2030

YearTarget 1Target 2
2030₹1,080₹1,260
  • Rationale: The upper end assumes sales growth rebounds to 5–6%, ROE sustains >20%, and P/E stabilizes at 50x.

Strengths vs Risks

Strengths

  • Debt-free with strong cash reserves
  • Industry-leading ROCE (36.6%) and ROE (21.3%)
  • Consistent dividend payer (2.24% yield, ~60% payout)
  • Iconic brand with pricing power

⚠️ Risks

  • Sales growth near zero (0.28%) – major red flag
  • Very high P/E (65x) – among the highest in the consumer sector
  • Rural demand weakness impacts volume
  • Competition from Relaxo, Metro, and unorganized players

Investment Suitability

FactorAssessment
Risk ProfileModerate (premium FMCG)
Time HorizonLong-term (5+ years)
VolatilityLow-to-Moderate
Dividend/IncomeYes (2.24% yield + stable)
Ideal InvestorQuality-focused investor who values brand moat and capital efficiency

FAQs

A realistic range is ₹880 – ₹960, assuming no major recovery in sales volume.
By 2030, it could reach ₹1,080 – ₹1,260 if profitability and brand premium hold.
No—those levels are unrealistic. The stock trades above ₹840, so ₹40/₹50 likely confuses face value (₹5) with market price.
The Bata Shoe Organization (Switzerland) owns 50.16%. It’s part of the global Bata Group, founded in 1894.
Yes—it has a consistent dividend history with a current yield of 2.24% and ~60% payout ratio.
Due to stagnant sales growth (0.28%), rich valuation (P/E 65x), and weak rural consumption, not business deterioration.
Only for quality-focused investors who believe in its brand resilience and capital efficiency. Not suitable for growth or momentum seekers.

Final Verdict

Bata India remains a high-quality, capital-efficient business with unmatched brand recognition. However, its lack of top-line growth makes the current valuation hard to justify. Our 2026–2030 price targets (₹880–₹1,260) reflect cautious optimism—contingent on margin sustainability and modest sales recovery. Investors should consider accumulating only on significant corrections with a 5-year horizon.

📌 Disclaimer: Price targets are estimates based on current fundamentals and sector trends. They are not investment advice. Please consult a SEBI-registered advisor.


Sources

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