Can Fin Home Share Price Target 2026 to 2030

Can Fin Home Share Price Target 2026 to 2030

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Can Fin Homes Ltd is a leading deposit-taking housing finance company (HFC) in India, primarily focused on providing affordable home loans to salaried professionals and self-employed individuals. Promoted by Canara Bank, which holds a 29.99% stake, the company has built a strong presence in the retail housing finance segment with a disciplined underwriting approach and improving asset quality. With consistent profit growth, healthy return ratios, and an attractive valuation, Can Fin Homes offers a compelling opportunity for long-term investors seeking exposure to India’s housing affordability story. This article provides a realistic outlook and share price targets for each year from 2026 to 2030, based on fundamentals and sector trends.


Can Fin Homes: Company Overview

  • Incorporated: 1987
  • Business: Retail housing finance—home loans, loans against property, and construction finance
  • Loan Book (Advances): ₹37,696.44 Cr
  • Ownership: Canara Bank (29.99%) + public & institutional shareholders
  • Listed: Yes – on BSE (532481) and NSE (CANFINHOME)

Clarifications:

  • Is it dividend-paying? Yes—1.29% yield with consistent payouts (~19% payout ratio).
  • Why did the share fall? Minor corrections are normal in HFCs due to interest rate volatility or market rotation—not business deterioration.
  • Future outlook: Tied to PM Awas Yojana, rising homeownership in Tier-2/3 cities, and stable credit metrics.

Can Fin Homes: Key Financial Snapshot

MetricValue
Market Capitalization₹12,378.67 Cr
Current Share Price₹929
52-Week High / Low₹972 / ₹558
P/E (TTM)12.71
P/B (TTM)2.16
Book Value (TTM)₹430.11
EPS (TTM)₹73.15
ROE18.22%
ROCE9.39%
Dividend Yield1.29%
Net Profit (TTM)₹856.79 Cr
Operating Revenue₹3,878.26 Cr
Sales Growth (YoY)10.08%
Profit Growth (YoY)14.18%

Shareholding Pattern

CategoryHolding (%)
Public (Retail)32.06%
Promoters (Canara Bank)29.99%
Domestic Institutions (DII)24.70%
Foreign Institutions (FII)13.24%
Others0%

Note: Strong institutional backing reflects trust in governance and execution.


Can Fin Homes Share Price Target Forecast (2026–2030)

Based on consistent earnings growth, attractive valuation, and sector tailwinds, we project:

YearTarget Price Range (₹)
2026₹980 – ₹1,080
2027₹1,040 – ₹1,160
2028₹1,100 – ₹1,250
2029₹1,160 – ₹1,340
2030₹1,220 – ₹1,430

These targets assume:

  • EPS CAGR of 12–14% (supported by 14% recent profit growth)
  • P/E range of 13–15x (reasonable for a quality HFC)
  • Stable GNPA (~0.8%) and capital adequacy (>24%)

Year-wise Breakdown

Can Fin Homes Share Price Target 2026

YearTarget 1Target 2
2026₹980₹1,080
  • Rationale: Near-term upside driven by AUM growth, stable margins, and low P/E (12.7x). Current valuation offers margin of safety.

Can Fin Homes Share Price Target 2027

YearTarget 1Target 2
2027₹1,040₹1,160
  • Rationale: Expected benefit from rural housing demand and digital underwriting efficiency. ROE sustainability supports re-rating.

Can Fin Homes Share Price Target 2028

YearTarget 1Target 2
2028₹1,100₹1,250
  • Rationale: By 2028, operating leverage could boost ROE above 19%. P/B may expand to 2.5x.

Can Fin Homes Share Price Target 2029

YearTarget 1Target 2
2029₹1,160₹1,340
  • Rationale: Long-term play on India’s housing shortage and financial inclusion. Execution risk remains low.

Can Fin Homes Share Price Target 2030

YearTarget 1Target 2
2030₹1,220₹1,430
  • Rationale: The upper end assumes sustained 15%+ ROE, market share gains, and peer-average P/B (2.5–2.8x).

Strengths vs Risks

Strengths

  • Attractive valuation (P/E 12.7x, P/B 2.16x)
  • Consistent 14%+ profit growth
  • Strong promoter (Canara Bank) + institutional backing
  • Healthy asset quality (GNPA: 0.82%, PCR: 80%)

⚠️ Risks

  • ROCE is modest (9.4%) due to the capital-intensive model
  • Interest rate sensitivity impacts NIMs
  • Competition from larger HFCs (e.g., HDFC, LIC Housing)

Investment Suitability

FactorAssessment
Risk ProfileModerate (established HFC)
Time HorizonLong-term (5+ years)
VolatilityLow-to-Moderate
Dividend/IncomeYes (1.29% yield + stable)
Ideal InvestorValue-conscious investor seeking steady compounding in housing finance

FAQs

A realistic range is ₹980 – ₹1,080, supported by earnings momentum and undemanding valuation.
By 2030, it could reach ₹1,220 – ₹1,430 if execution remains consistent.
No—those levels are unrealistic. The stock trades above ₹920, so ₹40/₹50 likely confuses face value (₹2) with market price.
Canara Bank owns 29.99% and is the main promoter. The rest is held by the public and institutions.
Yes—it has a consistent dividend history with a current yield of 1.29%.
Minor corrections are typical in HFCs due to interest rate expectations or market rotation—not fundamental weakness.
Yes—for investors seeking steady growth, dividend income, and exposure to India’s affordable housing boom.

Final Verdict

Can Fin Homes Ltd is a high-quality, undervalued HFC with strong fundamentals and policy tailwinds. Its combination of low P/E, healthy ROE, and improving scale makes it well-suited for conservative long-term portfolios. Our 2026–2030 price targets (₹980–₹1,430) reflect steady, sustainable appreciation—not speculative hype. Investors should consider accumulating on dips.

📌 Disclaimer: Price targets are estimates based on current fundamentals and sector trends. They are not investment advice. Please consult a SEBI-registered advisor.


Sources

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