Shriram Finance Share Price Target 2026 to 2030

Shriram Finance Share Price Target 2026 to 2030

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Shriram Finance Ltd is one of India’s largest retail asset financing non-banking financial companies (NBFCs), offering a wide range of loans, including commercial vehicle finance, SME lending, tractor loans, gold loans, personal loans, and working capital facilities. As the flagship company of the Shriram Group, it has built a strong presence across urban and rural India with over 1,750 branches and a vast partner network. Backed by robust asset quality, consistent profit growth, and strong institutional ownership, Shriram Finance remains a key player in India’s financial inclusion story. This article provides a fact-based outlook and realistic share price targets for each year from 2026 to 2030.


Shriram Finance: Company Overview

  • Incorporated: 1974
  • Business: Retail asset financing—CVs, SMEs, tractors, gold, personal loans, and more
  • AUM (Advances): ₹2,45,392.79 Cr (as of latest data)
  • Ownership: Promoter holding at 25.38%; majority stake held by institutions (FII + DII = 68.52%)
  • Listed: Yes – on BSE (500198) and NSE (SHRIRAMFIN)

Clarifications:

  • Is Shriram Finance a good share to buy? It’s a high-quality NBFC with strong fundamentals, suitable for long-term investors seeking exposure to India’s credit growth—but not ideal for short-term traders due to interest rate sensitivity.
  • What is the profit in 2025? Net profit (TTM) is ₹9,761 Cr, with 35.75% YoY profit growth.
  • Has it announced a split or bonus? No recent stock split or bonus issue. The last bonus was in 2018 (1:1).
  • Can we trust Shriram Finance? Yes—it has a 40+ year track record, strong governance, and transparent reporting. Credit ratings remain stable (CRISIL AA+/Stable).
  • Sun Pharma price target? Not relevant—this analysis covers Shriram Finance, not Sun Pharma.

Shriram Finance: Key Financial Snapshot

MetricValue
Market Capitalization₹1,88,619.21 Cr
Current Share Price₹1,002
52-Week High / Low₹1,026 / ₹493
P/E (TTM)20.67
P/B (TTM)3.00
Book Value (TTM)₹334.45
EPS (TTM)₹48.49
ROE18.64%
ROCE11.86%
Dividend Yield0.99%
Net Profit (TTM)₹9,761 Cr
Operating Revenue₹41,834.42 Cr
Sales Growth (YoY)19.65%
Profit Growth (YoY)35.75%

Shareholding Pattern

CategoryHolding (%)
Foreign Institutions (FII)47.19%
Domestic Institutions (DII)21.33%
Promoters25.38%
Public (Retail)6.10%
Others0%

Note: High institutional ownership reflects strong market confidence.


Shriram Finance Share Price Target Forecast (2026–2030)

Based on consistent earnings growth, strong AUM expansion, and reasonable valuation, we project the following realistic price ranges:

YearTarget Price Range (₹)
2026₹1,080 – ₹1,200
2027₹1,160 – ₹1,320
2028₹1,240 – ₹1,450
2029₹1,320 – ₹1,580
2030₹1,400 – ₹1,720

These targets assume:

  • EPS CAGR of 18–20% (supported by 35.75% recent profit growth)
  • P/E range of 19–22x (in line with historical averages for quality NBFCs)
  • Stable asset quality (GNPA ~1.5%, healthy provisioning)

Year-wise Breakdown

Shriram Finance Share Price Target 2026

YearTarget 1Target 2
2026₹1,080₹1,200
  • Rationale: Strong Q3 FY26 results and AUM crossing ₹2.45 lakh Cr support near-term upside. Current P/E of 20.7x is reasonable for a high-growth NBFC.

Shriram Finance Share Price Target 2027

YearTarget 1Target 2
2027₹1,160₹1,320
  • Rationale: Expected benefit from rural credit revival, SME lending expansion, and digital underwriting efficiency.

Shriram Finance Share Price Target 2028

YearTarget 1Target 2
2028₹1,240₹1,450
  • Rationale: By 2028, operating leverage from scale could boost ROE above 20%. Stable cost of funds supports margin resilience.

Shriram Finance Share Price Target 2029

YearTarget 1Target 2
2029₹1,320₹1,580
  • Rationale: Long-term play on India’s credit-to-GDP gap and rising formalization of lending. Diversification into new loan segments adds growth vectors.

Shriram Finance Share Price Target 2030

YearTarget 1Target 2
2030₹1,400₹1,720
  • Rationale: The upper end assumes sustained 20%+ ROE, low credit costs, and market leadership consolidation. Even at ₹1,720, P/E would be ~22x—justified for quality.

Strengths vs Risks

Strengths

  • Market leader in retail asset financing
  • Consistent 35%+ profit growth and 18.6% ROE
  • Strong institutional backing (FII + DII >68%)
  • Diversified loan book reduces sector concentration risk

⚠️ Risks

  • Interest rate volatility impacts NIMs
  • Asset quality sensitivity to economic slowdowns
  • Regulatory oversight by RBI (capital adequacy, liquidity norms)
  • Low dividend yield (0.99%) limits income appeal

Investment Suitability

FactorAssessment
Risk ProfileModerate (large-cap NBFC)
Time HorizonLong-term (5+ years)
VolatilityModerate
Dividend/IncomeLow but consistent (0.99% yield)
Ideal InvestorGrowth-focused investor bullish on India’s credit cycle and financial inclusion

FAQs

Yes—for long-term portfolios. Its strong execution, scale, and sector tailwinds make it a reliable compounder.
Net profit (TTM) is ₹9,761 crore, with EPS of ₹48.49 and 35.75% YoY growth.
No recent split or bonus. The last bonus issue was in 2018 (1:1).
Yes—it has a proven track record, transparent disclosures, strong governance, and stable credit ratings.
This question is unrelated. This analysis covers Shriram Finance, not Sun Pharmaceutical Industries Ltd.

Final Verdict

Shriram Finance Ltd is a high-quality, scalable NBFC well-positioned to benefit from India’s deepening credit penetration. While it carries typical NBFC risks (interest rates, asset quality), its diversified model, institutional trust, and consistent profitability make it a solid long-term holding. Our 2026–2030 price targets (₹1,080–₹1,720) reflect steady, sustainable growth—not speculative upside. Investors should consider accumulating on dips with a 5-year horizon.

📌 Disclaimer: Price targets are estimates based on current fundamentals and sector trends. They are not investment advice. Please consult a SEBI-registered advisor before investing.


Sources

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