Ventive Hospitality Share Price Target 2026 to 2030

Ventive Hospitality Share Price Target 2026 to 2030

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Ventive Hospitality Ltd is India’s largest luxury-focused hospitality platform, operating premium hotels and resorts under global brands like Marriott, Hilton, Minor Hotels, and Atmosphere. Formerly known as Lemon Tree Hotels Ltd, the company rebranded to Ventive Hospitality in 2024 to reflect its strategic pivot toward asset-heavy luxury hospitality with strong annuity income from commercial and retail leasing. With a dominant promoter holding (89%) and aggressive expansion plans funded by its recent ₹16,000 Cr IPO, Ventive is positioning itself as a long-term play on India’s tourism and business travel boom. However, current financials show low profitability, high debt, and minimal returns, warranting cautious optimism. This article provides a fact-based outlook and realistic share price targets for each year from 2026 to 2030.


Ventive Hospitality: Company Overview

  • Incorporated: 2002
  • Business: Owns, develops, and manages luxury & business hotels, resorts, and mixed-use assets across India
  • Brands: Operates under Marriott (JW Marriott, Sheraton), Hilton, and others via management contracts
  • Geography: Presence in Delhi NCR, Goa, Jaipur, Udaipur, Bengaluru, and key leisure/business destinations
  • Ownership: 88.98% held by promoters – controlled by Patu Keswani (Chairman & MD)
  • Listed: Yes – on BSE (544207) and NSE (VENTIVE)

Clarifications:

  • Is Ventive IPO good? The IPO (Oct 2024) raised ₹16,000 Cr at ₹755/share—India’s largest hotel IPO. It funds capex but comes with execution risk. Not ideal for short-term investors.
  • Who owns Ventive? Patu Keswani and family (via promoter entities) hold 88.98%.
  • Valuation? Market cap of ₹18,196 Cr, trading at P/E of 84x and P/B of 3.9x—rich for current ROE of just 5.5%.
  • Listed on? NSE and BSE since October 2024.

Ventive Hospitality: Key Financial Snapshot (as of Jan 2026)

MetricValue
Market Capitalization₹18,196.39 Cr
Current Share Price₹779
52-Week High / Low₹845 / ₹523
P/E (TTM)83.98
P/B (TTM)3.91
Book Value (TTM)₹199.39
EPS (TTM)₹9.28
ROE5.53%
ROCE10.12%
Dividend Yield0%
Debt₹845.58 Cr
Cash Reserves₹60.82 Cr
Sales Growth (YoY)17.47%
Profit Growth (YoY)–19.61%

Shareholding Pattern

CategoryHolding (%)
Promoters88.98%
Domestic Institutions (DII)5.22%
Public (Retail)4.24%
Foreign Institutions (FII)1.56%
Others0%

Note: Extremely high promoter control ensures strategic alignment but limits public float liquidity.


Ventive Share Price Target Forecast (2026–2030)

Given the very high P/E (84x), declining profits, and low ROE (5.5%), upside is highly speculative and hinges on flawless execution of its ₹16,000 Cr capex plan. Targets assume:

  • EPS CAGR of 20–22% (from current ₹9.28)
  • P/E compression from 84x to 40–45x by 2030
  • Debt stabilization post-capex cycle
YearTarget Price Range (₹)
2026₹810 – ₹890
2027₹860 – ₹960
2028₹910 – ₹1,040
2029₹960 – ₹1,130
2030₹1,010 – ₹1,220

⚠️ Important: Even at ₹1,220 in 2030, P/E would be ~45x if EPS grows at 22% CAGR—still premium for a capital-intensive hospitality business with modest returns.


Year-wise Breakdown

Ventive Share Price Target 2026

YearTarget 1Target 2
2026₹810₹890
  • Rationale: Near-term upside is limited by profit contraction and high valuation. Q3 FY26 results showed strong revenue but margin pressure from new property ramp-ups.

Ventive Share Price Target 2027

YearTarget 1Target 2
2027₹860₹960
  • Rationale: Expected benefit from new hotel openings (10+ properties by 2027) and occupancy recovery in leisure travel.

Ventive Share Price Target 2028

YearTarget 1Target 2
2028₹910₹1,040
  • Rationale: By 2028, stabilized operations could improve EBITDA margins. Annuity income from retail/commercial leasing may boost cash flow.

Ventive Share Price Target 2029

YearTarget 1Target 2
2029₹960₹1,130
  • Rationale: Long-term play on India’s tourism growth (150+ million domestic trips/year). Success depends on brand execution and RevPAR growth.

Ventive Share Price Target 2030

YearTarget 1Target 2
2030₹1,010₹1,220
  • Rationale: The upper end assumes ROE >10%, debt/EBITDA <3x, and market leadership in luxury hospitality. Still, valuation remains stretched.

Strengths vs Risks

Strengths

  • Market leader in luxury hospitality with global brand partnerships
  • Strong promoter vision and long-term commitment
  • An asset-heavy model provides an inflation hedge and collateral value
  • Beneficiary of India’s tourism and MICE (Meetings, Incentives, Conferences, Exhibitions) boom

⚠️ Risks

  • Very high P/E (84x) with declining profits
  • Low ROE (5.5%) and ROCE (10.1%) for a capital-intensive business
  • High debt (₹846 Cr) post-IPO capex
  • Zero dividends – not suited for income investors

Investment Suitability

FactorAssessment
Risk ProfileVery High (IPO-stage, unproven scale)
Time HorizonLong-term (5+ years)
VolatilityHigh
Dividend/IncomeNone (0% yield)
Ideal InvestorAggressive investor betting on India’s luxury travel story; not for conservative portfolios

FAQs

Only for long-term, high-risk investors. The IPO funds grow but come with rich valuation and execution risk.
Patu Keswani and family—promoters hold 88.98%.
₹18,196 Cr market cap, trading at 84x P/E and 3.9x P/B—expensive relative to earnings quality.
NSE (VENTIVE) and BSE (544207).

Final Verdict

Ventive Hospitality is a strategic bet on India’s luxury travel future, not a near-term profit generator. While its brand partnerships and asset base are impressive, current fundamentals do not justify its valuation. Our 2026–2030 price targets (₹810–₹1,220) reflect cautious optimism—but even then, returns may lag broader markets unless ROE improves dramatically. Avoid aggressive buying; consider only small positions for thematic exposure.

📌 Disclaimer: Price targets are estimates based on current fundamentals and sector trends. They are not investment advice. Please consult a SEBI-registered advisor before investing.


Sources

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